50 by 50—How can we reduce the probability of dying before age 70 by 50% globally by 2050?
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50 by 50—How can we reduce the probability of dying before age 70 by 50% globally by 2050?

11.10.2024 University of Bergen
A team of 50 leading international experts, the Lancet Commission on Investing in Health (CIH), explored this question, resulting in clear, actionable, and achievable measures for achieving this ambitious goal worldwide. Six of the 50 commission members are affiliated with the Bergen Centre for Ethics and Priority Setting in Health (BCEPS), a Norwegian Centre of Excellence based at the University of Bergen, Norway, including BCEPS Director and Professor Ole Frithjof Norheim, BCEPS PhD Research Fellow Sarah Bolongaita, and BCEPS-affiliated researchers Angela Chang (University of Southern Denmark), Dean T. Jamison (University of California, San Francisco), Stéphane Verguet (Harvard University), and David Watkins (University of Washington).

Their report will be released on Tuesday, October 15, 2024, when CIH members will give a keynote presentation of their findings at the World Health Summit in Berlin, Germany. The report will be freely available to the public at https://globalhealth2050.org, and the presentation given at the World Health Summit on October 15, 2024, from 4 pm - 5:30 pm CET, can be viewed online at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oHl-BLsfNF0.

According to the authors, the “50 by 50” goal, a 50% reduction in the probability of premature death (death before age 70), can be achieved by focusing on 15 priority conditions, eight related to infectious diseases and maternal health and seven related to non-communicable diseases and injuries.

Besides the scale-up of investments and services for these 15 priority health conditions, raising taxes on tobacco can do more to reduce premature mortality than any other single health policy.

In addition, the report estimates that there is a greater than 20% chance in the next 10 years of a pandemic that kills at least 25 million people—a magnitude similar to that of the COVID-19 pandemic, making pandemic preparedness and response critical.

The Global Health 2050 report offers a pathway for high-, middle- and low-income nations to drastically improve human welfare and life expectancy by 2050.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01439-9
Title: Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century

Authors:
Dean T Jamison, Lawrence H Summers, Angela Chang, Wenhui Mao, Ole F. Norheim, Osondu Ogbuoji, Marco Schäferhoff, David Watkins, Olusoji Adeyi, George Alleyne, Ala Alwan, Shuchi Anand, Ruth Nigatu Belachew, Seth Berkley, Stefano Bertozzi, Sarah Bolongaita, Donald Bundy, Flavia Bustreo, Marcia Castro, Simiao Chen, Victoria Fan, Ayodamope Fawole, Richard Feachem, Lia Tadesse Gebremedhin, Jayati Ghosh, Eduardo Gonzalez-Pier, Sue Goldie, Yan Guo, Sanjeev Gupta, Prabhat Jha, Omar Karlsson, Felicia Marie Knaul, Margaret Kruk, Christoph Kurowski, Gordon Liu, Saeda Makimoto, Awad Mataria, Rachel Nugent, Hitoshi Oshitani, Ariel Pablos-Mendez, Richard Peto, Neelam Sekhri Feachem, Srinath Reddy, Nisreen Salti, Helen Saxenian, Justina Seyi-Olajide, Agnes Soucat, Stéphane Verguet, Armand Zimmerman, Gavin Yamey

Correspondence to: Dr. Gavin Yamey, Center for Policy Impact in Global Health, Duke Global Health Institute, Trent Hall, 310 Trent Drive, Durham, NC 27708, USA. gavin.yamey@duke.edu

Journal: The Lancet

DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01439-9
Angehängte Dokumente
  • Photo of the printed report "Global health 2050"
  • Official logo Bergen Centre for Ethics and Priority Setting in Health (BCEPS), University of Bergen, Norway
11.10.2024 University of Bergen
Regions: Europe, Norway, Denmark, Germany
Keywords: Health, Policy, Public Dialogue - health, Medical, Society, Economics/Management, Business, Government

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